|
April 6, 2005
To Our Clients
and Friends,
Key
Bubble Lessons
Five years
ago, the new millennium started with such promise. Everybody was
in the market and making money. All of the major indexes closed
at record highs in the first quarter of 2000. Few people were prepared
for what was to come as the stock markets headed lower and eventually
tumbled to five and six year lows. Infectious enthusiasm gave way
to fear of investing. As billions of dollars evaporated, so did
investors who did not have an investment plan or any discipline.
Unrealistic expectations, a lack of a long-term investment strategy,
and emotional investing created the perfect storm for novice investors.
Thus many undisciplined investors missed the inevitable rebound
of the last two years.
The
Key Is Rebalancing
You might
have noticed a flurry of activity in your account recently. We normally
are not active traders, but winter is the time of year when we look
closely at our holdings and we replace no load funds that have not
met our expectations. We also perform another important function
at the same time when we rebalance accounts. We invest your assets
according to your individual asset allocation preference. Invariably,
the asset allocations will get out of whack as some areas of the
market out perform others. An unbalanced portfolio may give you
more risk than you want. When we rebalance, we move back to the
original asset allocation. In effect we are selling a percentage
of the winners and buying more of the 'losers', i.e. we are selling
high and buying low. A good investment strategy that allows us to
buy funds 'on sale'.
A
Diversified Portfolio is Key
. . . to having
a successful investment experience. The divergence of returns across
asset classes in 2004 underscores the benefits of diversifying your
portfolio, both across asset classes and geographically. For the
five-year period ending last year, REITs performed the best, followed
by bonds. The S&P 500 was the worst performer although
it was the
best performer in the five year period ending in 1999. The lesson
to be learned is that leadership among asset classes frequently
changes but the timing of these dynamic shifts is difficult to predict.
Thus, one of the best approaches for achieving long-term gains is
to invest in a diversified portfolio over the long-term. Then all
you need is a healthy dose of patience and discipline to allow the
markets to do what they do best. Grow your assets over time. You
are likely to have a successful investment experience if you adhere
to this investment philosophy.
A
New Dimension
Late last
year, we formed a strategic alliance with an institutional investment
firm call Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA). We now have access to
institutional-class funds that were previously unavailable. DFA
is a Santa Monica money management firm that has Nobel prize winners
on its board and whose founders, Rex Sinquefield and David Booth,
created their money management philosophy on research performed
by finance professors, Eugene Fama of the University of Chicago
and Kenneth French of Dartmouth College. Based on Fama and French's
research, DFA has structured many of its mutual funds to capture
the return premiums that it believes are associated with high book-to-market
stocks (value stocks) and small market cap stocks. You might have
noticed that in your portfolio, we have purchased one or two DFA
funds. DFA has a publicly available website if you are interested,
www.dfaus.com.
Remember
As usual,
please feel free to call us. We are here to answer your questions,
respond to your concerns, and help you make smart decision about
your money.
Very truly
yours,
ZRC Financial
Services, LLC
A Registered Investment Advisor
By: 
Richard P.
Clarke
|